defter / katalog / IR 5104

IR 5104 Issues in Turkish Foreign Policy

Rather than march through Turkish foreign policy chronologically, this graduate seminar hands you the Foreign Policy Analysis toolkit, rational choice, bureaucratic politics, leadership and decision-making models, and asks you to turn it on Turkey's actual diplomatic conduct, weighing failures and contradictions as seriously as the achievements. Expect heavy weekly readings from Hudson, Allison, Rosenau and the Özdamar literature, a steady stream of homework, a presentation, and two projects that push you toward original empirical work on a TFP case. It assumes you already know the historical narrative, so the payoff is learning to explain *why* Ankara decided what it did, which is the foundation for any serious thesis or policy work in the field.

Kredi 3 ECTS 5 Fakülte İktisadi, İdari ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi Bölüm Uluslararası İlişkiler Koordinatör Crystal Marie Whetstone

→ STARS müfredatı (resmi syllabus)

IR 5104 zor mu?

Son 17 dönemde dersin ortalaması 3,52 (227 öğrencinin notu, 4,00 üzerinden), yani sınıf ortalaması A- civarında. Zorluk hocaya ve şubeye göre değişir; ölçülebilir olan bu sayı. Diğer derslerle karşılaştır →

IR 5104 dersinin ön koşulu var mı?

Bilkent kataloğunda bu ders için ön koşul yazılı değil.

IR 5104 kaç kredi?

3 Bilkent kredisi, 5 AKTS.

Haftalık müfredat 14 hafta

Hafta 114–20 Eyl

Giriş ve Foreign Policy Analysis

Introduction September 23 and 27 1 Foreign Policy Analysis September 30, October 4 week Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 1-188

Foreign Policy AnalysisValerie HudsonBenjamin S. Daysayfa 1-188

Hafta 221–27 Eyl

Foreign Policy Analysis: Hudson ve Day okuması

2 Foreign Policy Analysis October 11 week Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 1-188

Foreign Policy AnalysisValerie HudsonBenjamin S. Day

Hafta 328 Eyl – 4 Eki

Karşılaştırmalı dış politikanın erken çalışmaları

3 Earlier Works October 18 week Required readings: Rosenau. 1968. “Comparative Foreign Policy: Fad, Fantasy, or Field?” International Studies Quarterly. Vol. 12. pp. 296-329 Rosenau. 1984. “A Pre-Theory Revisited: World Politics in an Era of Cascading Interdependence.” International Studies Quarterly Vol. 28: pp. 245-305. Carolyn C. James and Özgür Özdamar. “Modeling Foreign Policy and Ethnic Conflict: Turkey's Policies towards Syria”, Foreign Policy Analysis 5, Issue 1, (2009): 475-494. Recommended Readings: McGowan, Patrick J., and Howard B. Shapiro. (1973) The Comparative Study of Foreign Policy: A Survey of Scientific Findings. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. (Introduction Ch., Ch.2) Snyder et al. 2002. Foreign Policy Decision-Making. 1-152.

Rosenaucomparative foreign policypre-theoryforeign policy decision-making

Hafta 45–11 Eki

Dış politikada rational choice yaklaşımları

4 Rational Choice Perspectives October 24 Week Required readings: Allison, Graham T. 1969. “Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis.” American Political Science Review. 63: 689-718. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2010. “Foreign Policy Analysis and Rational Choice Models.” In (Ed.) Robert Denemark. ISA Compendium . Hermann and Hermann. 1989. “Who Makes Foreign Policy Decisions and How.” International Studies Quarterly. 33: 361-387. Zeynep Taydaş and Özgür Özdamar, “A Divided Government, an Ideological Parliament, and an Insecure Leader: Turkey’s Indecision about Joining the Iraq War.” Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 94, Issue 1 p. 217-241, March 2013. Morrow, James. 1997. “A Rational Choice Approach to International Conflict” in Decisionmaking on War and Peace. Recommended readings: Zagare. 2004. “Reconciling Rationality with Deterrence.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 16: 107-141. Stein and Welch. 1997. “Rational and Psychological Approaches to the Study of International Conflict” in Decisionmaking on War and Peace. Quackenbush, Stephen. 2004. “The Rationality of Rational Choice Theory.” International Interactions. 30: 87-107.

rational choiceAllisonCuban Missile Crisisforeign policy analysis

Hafta 512–18 Eki

Oyun kuramı ve siyaset tahmini okumaları

Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2002. “The End of Cold War: Predicting an Emergent Property” in Predicting Politics. pp. 78-97. Özdamar, Özgür. “Oyun Kuramının Uluslararası İlişkiler Yazınına Katkıları,” Uluslararası İlişkiler, 4, Issue 15 (2007): 33-66. Özdamar, Özgür. 2019. “An Application of Expected Utility Modeling and Game Theory in IR: Assessment of International Bargaining on Iran’s Nuclear Program”. All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace. Volume 8, No: 2, pp. 205-230. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2002. “Tools for Predicting Politics” in Predicting Politics. pp. 50-77 Bueno de Mesquita et al. 2002. “Political Institutions, Policy Choice and the Survival of Leaders.” British Journal of Political Science. 32: 559-590. Bennett and Stam. 2006. “Predicting the Length of the 2003 Iraq War.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 2: 101-116. Özdamar, Özgür. “Dış Politika Karar Alımı Sürecinde Lider Merkezli Yaklaşım: Akılcı Tercih Kuramı ve Türkiye'Nin Irak Savaşına Katılmama Kararı” Dış Politika Teorileri Bağlamında Türk Dış Politikasının Analizi. Ed.

game theoryexpected utility modelBueno de MesquitaÖzdamar

Hafta 619–25 Eki

Liderlikte operational code analysis

Operational Code Analysis Nov 1 Week Required readings: George, Alexander L. 1969. “The Operational Code: A Neglected Approach to the Study of Political Leaders and Decision Making.” International Studies Quarterly. 23: 190-222. Walker, Stephen G., Mark Schafer, and Michael Young. 1998. “Systematic Procedures for Operational Code Analysis.” International Studies Quarterly. 42: 175-190. Özgür Özdamar. “Leadership Analysis at a ‘Great Distance’: Using Operational Code Construct to Analyze Islamist Leaders.” Global Society. Volume 31, Issue 2, 2017. Özdamar, Özgür and Sercan Canbolat. “Understanding New Middle Eastern Leadership: An Operational Code Approach,” With Sercan Canbolat, Political Research Quarterly. Vol 71, No 1, pp. 19-31. Özdamar, Özgür and Erdem Ceydilek. 2019. “European populist radical right leaders’ foreign policy beliefs: An operational code analysis”, with Erdem Ceydilek, European Journal of International Relations. Article first published online: May 30, 2019.

operational code analysisGeorgeWalkerliderlik analizi

Hafta 726 Eki – 1 Kas

Ulusal imajlar ve national role conception'lar

Ideas, National Images and Role Conceptions Nov 8 Week Required readings: Holsti, K. J. 1970 National Role Conceptions in the Study of Foreign Policy. International Studies Quarterly 14(3): 233-309 Thies, C. 2010. “Role Theory and Foreign Policy.” ISA Compendium Project. Ed: Robert E. Denmark. Blackwell Publishing. Akbaba, Yasemin and Özgür Özdamar. 2019. Role Theory in the MENA. Routledge Press.

national role conceptionsrole theoryK. J. HolstiAkbaba ve Özdamar

Hafta 82–8 Kas

Kamuoyu ve dış politika ilişkisi

Required readings: Holsti, Ole. 1992. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Challenges of the Almond Lippmann Consensus.” International Studies Quarterly. 36: 439-466. Jentleson, Bruce W. 1992. “The Pretty Prudent Public: Post Post-Vietnam American Opinion on the Use of Military Force.” International Studies Quarterly 36: 49-73. Özdamar, Özgür and Zeynep Taydaş. “Foreign Policy, Public Opinion and the Iraq War: The Turkish Case”, International Public Opinion and the Iraq War, eds. Richard Sobel, Bethany Barratt and Peter Furia. Forthcoming, 2012.

public opinionAlmond-Lippmann ConsensusOle HolstiIraq War

Hafta 99–15 Kas

Prospect theory ve poliheuristic karar verme

Levy, Jack S. 1997. “Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations.” International Studies Quarterly. 41: 87-112. Mintz, Alex. 2003. Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making. Ch. 1, 7, and 9. Özdamar, Özgür and Okhan Erciyas. 2019. "Turkey and Cyprus: A Poliheuristic Analysis of Decisions During the Crises of 1964, 1967 and 1974". Foreign Policy Analysis. Article first published online: 13 August 2019.

prospect theoryrational choicepoliheuristic foreign policy decision makingTurkey and Cyprus krizleri (1964, 1967, 1974)

Hafta 1016–22 Kas

Dış politikada başkanlık karar alma

Required readings: George, Alexander L. 1980. Presidential Decisionmaking in Foreign Policy. Ch. 1-6. Hermann and Preston. 1994. “Presidents, Advisors and Foreign Policy.” Political Psychology. 15: 75-96. Mitchell, David. 2005. “Centralizing Advisory Systems.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 2: 181-206. Recommended readings: Kaarbo and Beasley. 2008. “Taking it to the Extreme.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 4: 67 Bak and Palmer. 2010. “Testing the Biden Hypothesis.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 6: 257-274.

Alexander L. Georgeadvisory systemsforeign policyBölüm 1-6

Hafta 1123–29 Kas

TFP/FPA çalışmalarının bütünleşmesi ve geleceği

10 Integration and Future of TFP/FPA Studies: How to explain TFP? December 6 Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 189-230

TFPFPAHudson ve Day 2020Foreign Policy Analysis

Hafta 1230 Kas – 6 Ara

TFP/FPA çalışmalarının bütünleşmesi ve geleceği

TFPFPAHudson ve Day 2020Foreign Policy Analysis

Hafta 137–13 Ara

Paper/proje için danışma saatleri

Contact hours with instructor about your paper/Project

contact hourspaperproject

Hafta 1414–20 Ara

Projelerin sınıfta sunumu

Presentation of projects.

projesunum

Değerlendirme 110% · 5 adım

20%

50%

10%

In-class participation Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK 20%

Project Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper 70%

Presentations Course Hours and Presentatıons 10%

Homework homeowrk 10%

Bu kalemler %110'e toplanıyor, yani 100'ü aşıyor. İki sebebi olabilir: bonus bir kalem vardır ya da izlencenin tablosunda aynı satır iki kez yazılmıştır. Hangisi olduğunu dersin STARS izlencesinden doğrula. Hesap makinesi bu yüzden kapalı.

en büyük tek kalem %50 · 17 dönem ortalaması 3.52 (227 öğrenci) nasıl hesaplanıyor

Bu dersi alınca · 5 öğrenme çıktısı

O1. Analyse FPA theories and evaluate its reflections in Turkish foreign policy.Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK, Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper
O2. Have command of theories of FPA, have the ability to convert these theories into a Turkish foreign policy analysis, and the knowledge to prepare works compatible with academic rules.Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK, Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper
O3. Use FPA theoretical knowledge while making a TFP decision, implementing it and converting the decision into a behavior.Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK, Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper
O4. Have the ability to transfer the foreign policy decision-making knowledge with its theoretical and practical principles to those who are concerned with TFP decisions.Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK, Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper
O5. Create new knowledge and interpretations by conducting original research on TFP and collecting original data.Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK, Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper

Bilkent'in resmî syllabus'ünden. Sağdaki etiket o çıktının hangi değerlendirmeyle ölçüldüğünü söylüyor.

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← katalog

Geçmiş GPA dağılımı 17 dönem · ort. 3.52

Dönem	Ders ort.
2025-2026 Spring	3.62	1 şube · 12 öğr
2024-2025 Fall	3.73	1 şube · 12 öğr
2023-2024 Fall	3.21	1 şube · 18 öğr
2022-2023 Fall	3.20	1 şube · 12 öğr
2021-2022 Fall	3.71	1 şube · 12 öğr
2020-2021 Fall	3.41	1 şube · 21 öğr
2019-2020 Fall	3.60	1 şube · 20 öğr
2018-2019 Fall	3.69	1 şube · 26 öğr
2017-2018 Fall	3.68	1 şube · 13 öğr
2016-2017 Fall	3.08	1 şube · 8 öğr

Dersin dönem ortalaması, o dönemin bütün şubeleri birlikte. Kaynak STARS'ın ders değerlendirme raporu. Rapor yalnız kampüs ağından ya da Bilkent VPN ile açılıyor: IR 5104 raporu · Bilkent VPN bilgisi. Öğrenci anket cevaplarını defter'de tutmuyoruz. Tüm derslerin ortalamaları →

2026-2027 Güz döneminde açılmadı. Ders kaydı geçti, kayıt sisteminde bu dersin şubesi yok. Katalogda duruyor, yani başka bir dönem açılabilir. Son 4 güz döneminin 3 tanesinde açılmış, yani bu dönem de açılması beklenir. Son açıldığı dönemde (2024-2025 güz) 1 şube vardı. Açık dersler → · kayıt tarihleri

⚠️ FZ engelleyen şartlar

Course Learning Outcomes: Course Learning Outcome Assessment O1. Analyse FPA theories and evaluate its reflections in Turkish foreign policy. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper O2. Have command of theories of FPA, have the ability to convert these theories into a Turkish foreign policy analysis, and the knowledge to prepare works compatible with academic rules. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper O3. Use FPA theoretical knowledge while making a TFP decision, implementing it and converting the decision into a behavior. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper O4. Have the ability to transfer the foreign policy decision-making knowledge with its theoretical and practical principles to those who are concerned with TFP decisions. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper O5. Create new knowledge and interpretations by conducting original research on TFP and collecting original data. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper

Hocalar 0 bu dönem · 4 geçmiş

Geçmişte ders veren (4 kişi)

İbrahim Özgür Özdamar, Berk Esen, Mustafa Kibaroğlu, Ali L. Karaosmanoğlu

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